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Old 01-18-2018, 01:12 PM   #66361
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Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

Quote:
Originally Posted by rconverse View Post


I'm over craft beers. That said, nothing is wrong with those hobbies. That's why I said "new" hobbies. Some need to add to their list and get over their Trump addictions/obsessions. Addictions breakup families, so I'm just trying to help here.
Heathen.

We'll pick up new hobbies for 2019 if you can make it the whole year without complaining about Chicago/IL!

Quote:
Originally Posted by mdmarvich View Post
yeah, from a public opinion perspective, the tax cuts will likely play very well for the right. Unless they lead to higher inflation —> fed rate hike —> recession in which case 83% of the cuts going to top 1% will become more of a problem from PR perspective
Yeah, that's a logical concern. It's generally the main reason why cutting taxes during economic expansion is risky, and if it motivates the fed to increase the pace of rate hikes it's a pretty nasty mixture if recession hits shortly thereafter. We haven't had a consecutive recessionary quarters in about a decade now, so it's playing a dicey game of chicken right now hoping the new post-Great Recession cycle is a long one.
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  • Old 01-18-2018, 01:13 PM   #66362
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    How do you know this isn't one of many hobbies?
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:17 PM   #66363
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Yea guys just stop paying attention to the President of the United States.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:18 PM   #66364
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mdmarvich View Post
    I drink a lot less craft than I used to. Still enjoy it, but getting older and whiskey is more forgiving on the waistline
    You doing two or three fingered pours there?
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:20 PM   #66365
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by BTBaboon View Post
    Heathen.

    We'll pick up new hobbies for 2019 if you can make it the whole year without complaining about Chicago/IL!
    Never!!! It's winter, so relatively quiet but it'll start popping off again when the weather turns.

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Route_2 View Post
    How do you know this isn't one of many hobbies?
    Then I would say some of you take your hobbies quite seriously.

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by zajDmB1 View Post
    Yea guys just stop paying attention to the President of the United States.
    I never said this.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:28 PM   #66366
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    Then I would say some of you take your hobbies quite seriously.
    If it's worth doing, it's worth doing well!
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:29 PM   #66367
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Speaking of Chicago, apparently Chicago is in the top 20 for Amazon's 2nd world headquarters.

    https://www.yahoo.com/tech/amazon-re...141341885.html
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:30 PM   #66368
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Route_2 View Post
    If it's worth doing, it's worth doing well!


    Who am I to argue with that logic??
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:31 PM   #66369
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by zajDmB1 View Post
    Yea guys just stop paying attention to the President of the United States.
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    I never said this.
    Im not sure that isn’t the best possible thing that could happen. Would just have to be everybody all in though. I do think President Trump can unify the world on this issue. Our very own twilight zone fairy tale.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:40 PM   #66370
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Jobless claims at 45 year low.

    https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/u...--finance.html

    If all of this winning keeps up, Trump may go ahead and actually accept Time's offer for him to be man of the year in 2018, unlike when he politely turned them down in 2017 to allow women to rise to the forefront.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:46 PM   #66371
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    Jobless claims at 45 year low.

    https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/u...--finance.html

    If all of this winning keeps up, Trump may go ahead and actually accept Time's offer for him to be man of the year in 2018, unlike when he politely turned them down in 2017 to allow women to rise to the forefront.
    the Time thing.

    Glad republicans are happy about the job market now. When it was in nearly an identical position last year all the talk was about underemployment and low labor participation rates.

    2017 fell below 2016 in job growth (lowest 4+ years I believe).

    FWIW, I think we've been near/at full employment for the better part of the past 2.5 years.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:55 PM   #66372
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    What about all the people that have "given up" trying to get work and wouldn't "claim" to be jobless.

    Guess those only matter negatively under Obama?
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:57 PM   #66373
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by BTBaboon View Post
    the Time thing.

    Glad republicans are happy about the job market now. When it was in nearly an identical position last year all the talk was about underemployment and low labor participation rates.

    2017 fell below 2016 in job growth (lowest 4+ years I believe).

    FWIW, I think we've been near/at full employment for the better part of the past 2.5 years.
    Well, I'd definitely like to see those increase to somewhere more like 60%-70% but I agree with your overall premise. This number can be spun different ways to look good or bad and I agree that the employment rate is generally on the same track as it was.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:58 PM   #66374
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    GOP can't avoid a shutdown when they control the White House and both houses of Congress.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:59 PM   #66375
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Can Trump still issue executive orders or change policy during the shutdown?

    I would think so because they can just take effect when people come back.

    But if not ... let's shut this mother down!
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    Old 01-18-2018, 01:59 PM   #66376
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by zajDmB1 View Post
    What about all the people that have "given up" trying to get work and wouldn't "claim" to be jobless.

    Guess those only matter negatively under Obama?
    https://tradingeconomics.com/united-...icipation-rate

    Click on 10Y

    Shows a clear downward trend under Obama and an uptick in 2016. Another win for Trump!

    Last edited by rconverse; 01-18-2018 at 02:02 PM.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:07 PM   #66377
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    ^ I see it going up before Tramp takes over.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:10 PM   #66378
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    https://tradingeconomics.com/united-...icipation-rate

    Click on 10Y

    Shows a clear downward trend under Obama and an uptick in 2016. Another win for Trump!
    Trump was president in 2016?
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:11 PM   #66379
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    As baby boomers get older and retire and we restrict immigration and people aren't having babies, it'll be hard to get the labor participation rate up, regardless of president or policies.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:13 PM   #66380
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    not mention with the noise, it's a flattening as much as an up uptick (though maybe the start of an uptick).
    Either way, the most interesting story there is when selecting "max" for the data. Major changes in the US workforce since the 50s.

    Last edited by mr.MikeD; 01-18-2018 at 02:15 PM.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:14 PM   #66381
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    https://tradingeconomics.com/united-...icipation-rate

    Click on 10Y

    Shows a clear downward trend under Obama and an uptick in 2016. Another win for Trump!
    Click on Max...clear downward trend since 2000.

    Still higher than pre-1980's. Wonder why that is...couldn't be due to an aging population and large generational group reaching retirement...could it?
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:17 PM   #66382
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    You liberals just can't give The Donald credit for anything. Sad!
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:17 PM   #66383
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    People our age not having enough babies is going to be a big problem one day
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    Yeah fuck Kentucky.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:18 PM   #66384
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by BTBaboon View Post
    Click on Max...clear downward trend since 2000.

    Still higher than pre-1980's. Wonder why that is...couldn't be due to an aging population and large generational group reaching retirement...could it?
    I'd guess that there were a larger percentage of SAHM's in the 1970s and before.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:27 PM   #66385
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by coldengrey12 View Post
    ^ I see it going up before Tramp takes over.
    Yes, in anticipation of Trump. All the signs were pointing to a Trump landslide win!!
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:31 PM   #66386
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    what??

    https://twitter.com/ezraklein/status/954106407544074244
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    Yeah fuck Kentucky.
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:33 PM   #66387
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by mr.MikeD View Post
    not mention with the noise, it's a flattening as much as an up uptick (though maybe the start of an uptick).
    Either way, the most interesting story there is when selecting "max" for the data. Major changes in the US workforce since the 50s.
    Women. Amirite?!?
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:51 PM   #66388
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    Women. Amirite?!?
    can't live with em, can't pay the mortgage and the childcare bills without em!
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:52 PM   #66389
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by rconverse View Post
    Yes, in anticipation of Trump. All the signs were pointing to a Trump landslide win!!
    He's unstoppable!

    Get on that Trump traaaaaaaaaaaain!

    Choo-choo!

    #MAGA
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    Old 01-18-2018, 02:58 PM   #66390
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    Re: ** The Trump Thread SAFE SPACE ** (NO Personal Attacks; NO Trolling)

    i was in chicago on tues and wed.

    what an overrated shit hole of a city...
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