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Old 08-17-2022, 12:33 PM   #456931
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Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

Quote:
Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
It's time for dems to learn to play the long game. Otherwise there won't be a planned parenthood left to donate to.
Ok then why don’t you tell us who you should donate to.
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  • Old 08-17-2022, 12:34 PM   #456932
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Speilmen230 View Post
    Gotta invent problems to retain position of power.
    No they sincerely believe that bail reform has caused a crime wave. They want to give judges discretion when as we've seen the justice system is racist.


    There was a study and even though murders have fallen for like 20 years people still believe that crime is as worse as ever(but not in their neighborhood).
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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:35 PM   #456933
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Dannyyankou View Post
    So the Senate is looking like a near lock for Democrats, but we really need the House. That's still unlikely.
    Generic is tied.


    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...vote-7361.html


    538 gives the Democrats a 22% of retaining the House.


    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
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    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:37 PM   #456934
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    War! War! War!

    *my best Drak impression*



    What war?
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    Quote:
    Originally Posted by BTBaboon View Post
    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:41 PM   #456935
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    Mandy did you see Harry isn't going to see the Queen when he visits?! Apparently a scheduling conflict. Oh no!

    Right, a “scheduling conflict.” Sure.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:48 PM   #456936
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    I am looking very much forward to the RNC debates between Trump and Cheney. She must run for Prez.


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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:50 PM   #456937
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Didn’t the RNC already say they won’t be doing any debates?
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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:51 PM   #456938
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by YouKnowThatItIS View Post
    I am looking very much forward to the RNC debates between Trump and Cheney. She must run for Prez.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    I doubt Cheney would have the requisite support to make the debate stage. Usually you need like 5% to make the stage, right?
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    Old 08-17-2022, 12:59 PM   #456939
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by ricky towel View Post
    Ok then why don’t you tell us who you should donate to.


    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    Other than Lincoln Project, who should I be donating to?
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    Seriously though...Barnes, Warnock, Cortez Masto, Fetterman?
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:00 PM   #456940
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    No they sincerely believe that bail reform has caused a crime wave. They want to give judges discretion when as we've seen the justice system is racist.


    There was a study and even though murders have fallen for like 20 years people still believe that crime is as worse as ever(but not in their neighborhood).
    Which is all based off pushing a made up narrative - ala, inventing problems that don't exist.

    Gotta keep their base living in complete fear.
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    It's not called the Great Depression because it was an awesome fucking time.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:05 PM   #456941
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by ricky towel View Post
    Donate to planned parenthood or something like that.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:11 PM   #456942
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by cazzie34 View Post
    I doubt Cheney would have the requisite support to make the debate stage. Usually you need like 5% to make the stage, right?

    She’s a hard core conservative. more than Trump.


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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:12 PM   #456943
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by YouKnowThatItIS View Post
    She’s a hard core conservative. more than Trump.


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    She’s anti Trump. Which means she will struggle to get gop support.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:14 PM   #456944
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Repub party is just the Trump party now. There won't be any opposition.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:17 PM   #456945
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Speilmen230 View Post
    Which is all based off pushing a made up narrative - ala, inventing problems that don't exist.

    Gotta keep their base living in complete fear.
    Crime did spike but maybe 8 months after bail reform passed and was part of a general rise in crime nationwide.
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    Originally Posted by BTBaboon View Post
    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:18 PM   #456946
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    I am not sure Trump will run. He'll be 4 years older.
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    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:20 PM   #456947
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    Generic is tied.


    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...vote-7361.html


    538 gives the Democrats a 22% of retaining the House.


    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/
    I know all that. Generic ballot is basically the popular vote. Democrats won the popular vote by 3.1% in 2020, they lost seats. They're going to need a bigger lead.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:20 PM   #456948
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    I am not sure Trump will run. He'll be 4 years older.
    It'd be nice if the McDonald's diet took it's toll sooner than later but who knows
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:24 PM   #456949
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Dannyyankou View Post
    They're going to need a bigger lead.
    Not necessarily.
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    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:24 PM   #456950
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    Tell that to the millions of women that just lost autonomy over their own bodies.
    dems can't (and wouldn't anyway) get rid of the fillibuster, so roe isn't getting codified. if you're dead set on donating to a politician, your money would go a lot further if you donated to state politicians who are now the ones in charge of making these laws.

    but it would go even further if you donate to groups who advocate for reproductive rights.
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    Antsmarching.org: Came for the DMBc, stayed for the nDMBc.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:26 PM   #456951
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Good review of bail reform.

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-wo...new-york-state
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    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:27 PM   #456952
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    Not necessarily.
    Why do you think 538 gives them only a 22% chance even though they're up .5%?
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:30 PM   #456953
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Dannyyankou View Post
    Why do you think 538 gives them only a 22% chance even though they're up .5%?
    Nate has the House +4 for republicans.


    You have to scroll way down.


    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/house/
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    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:37 PM   #456954
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by TheLastStop123 View Post
    dems can't (and wouldn't anyway) get rid of the fillibuster, so roe isn't getting codified. if you're dead set on donating to a politician, your money would go a lot further if you donated to state politicians who are now the ones in charge of making these laws.

    but it would go even further if you donate to groups who advocate for reproductive rights.
    So your stance is that groups advocating for reproductive rights are more important than electing politicians that 1) have the ability to write laws on reproductive rights and 2)approve the judges that rule on the constitutionality of those laws?
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:41 PM   #456955
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    The people that get elected don't actually matter. The people that write laws don't matter. The people that nominate and approve judges don't matter.

    -Ricky and TLS123
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:42 PM   #456956
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    Nate has the House +4 for republicans.


    You have to scroll way down.


    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orecast/house/
    Then there's something screwed up about his model if it thinks there will be a 7 point swing in the popular vote but Republicans will only pick up 19 seats.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:44 PM   #456957
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Dannyyankou View Post
    Then there's something screwed up about his model if it thinks there will be a 7 point swing in the popular vote but Republicans will only pick up 19 seats.
    When I say House +4 that means the generic not anything to do with seats.


    Remember Republicans picked up some surprise seats which could weight on their 2022 chances.
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    As it turns, Drak was right!
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:45 PM   #456958
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    The people that get elected don't actually matter. The people that write laws don't matter. The people that nominate and approve judges don't matter.

    -Ricky and TLS123
    That’s what you took from me suggesting you donate to planned parenthood?


    Lol alright.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:46 PM   #456959
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drakan View Post
    When I say House +4 that means the generic not anything to do with seats.


    Remember Republicans picked up some surprise seats which could weight on their 2022 chances.
    I know that... Dems won by 3.1% in 2020, his model says 4% for republicans this year. 7 point swing in the popular vote as I said.
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    Old 08-17-2022, 01:50 PM   #456960
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    Re: *Prompter Thread* (NO personal attacks, NO trolling)

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by MDPrompter View Post
    bad inventory management.

    Lots of consumers got great deals in an otherwise high inflationary environment. So yeah, ROARING!
    Except sales are down. People largely are buying fewer discretionary items.
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