I have a hypotyhetical.... (And look, we could argue about past hypotheticals too but, at least, this one may give us something to hang our hats on later, so to speak.)
As I mentioned in an above post, I think that, right now, Trump and Biden would be a horserace (50/50). Two questions:
1.) If you don't think 50/50 what do you think the odds are now?
2.) Given whichever percents you applied (obvi have to add to 100%), what do you think the candidates have to do to "flip the script."
Now, just like in the SAW franchise,
there are rules!!
Not really "rules" but be specific and, at least try to, be realistic with your expecations of anything working or even being worth saying at this point. (In other words, keep in mind asking people to stay inside doesn't exactly work. So to state, "I'd issue a nationwide lockdown" kind of needs more teeth, imo. - How would you implement that? Would you cut down or stop public transportation?)
In other words, play political strategist. Where do you think your campaign is now and where do you need to get it to bring things home?